Umar Burkhanov, Feruza Saburova


Climate change may pose serious challenges to the economies of Central Asian countries, but in-depth studies on a national level are lacking. The paper is aimed to contribute filling this gap and devoted to assessing the economic impacts of climate change in selected areas of Central Asia. The methods of the desk study and documental analysis are used to summarize the adverse effects of climate change in rural livelihoods. Moreover, the preliminary results of the survey conducted in selected regions of Fergana valley within MikroKlima project used as a corresponding data for economic impact analysis on a household level. The results reveal that the effects of unfavorable weather conditions uneven for short and long term, and across Central Asia. Moreover, the most potential damage from climate change will affect the rural population, and there is also a high positive correlation between water shortage, increased aridity, and poverty, aggravated by climate change.


climate change, household, income, agriculture, water, Central Asia, Uzbekistan

Full Text:



Alamanov, S., Pelevkin, V., Podrezov, O., & Podrerzov, A. (2006). Climate change and water problems in Central Asia [Scholarly project]. Educational course for natural sciences and humanities students, Moscow, WWF, UNEP

Anisimov, O. A., & Ginsburg, A. S. (2008, July 01). Russian and Neighboring Countries: Environmental, economic and social impacts of climate change | Oxfam GB. Retrieved April 01, 2017, from


Bell, M. L., Goldberg, R., Hogrefe, C., Kinney, P. L., Knowlton, K., Lynn, B., Patz, J. A. (2007). Climate change, ambient ozone, and health in 50 US cities. Climatic Change,82(1-2), 61-76. doi:10.1007/s10584-006-9166-7

Bernard, L., Semmler, W., & Sachs, J. D. (2015). Climate Change and Intergenerational Well-Being. The Oxford Handbook of the Macroeconomics of Global Warming. doi:10.1093/oxfordhb/9780199856978.013.0011;

Bernauer, T., & Siegfried, T. (2012). Climate change and international water conflict in Central Asia. Journal of Peace Research,49(1), 227-239. doi:10.1177/0022343311425843.

Bezborodov, G., Shadmanov, D., Mirhashimov, R., Yuldashev, T., Qureshi, A., Noble, A., & Qadir, M. (2010). Mulching and water quality effects of soil salinity and sodicity dynamics and cotton productivity in Central Asia. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment, 138(1-2), 95-102. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2010.04.005.).

Bobojonov, I., & Aw-Hassan, A. (2014). Impacts of climate change on farm income security in Central Asia: An integrated modeling approach. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment,188, 245-255. doi:10.1016/j.agee.2014.02.033

Bucknall, L., Klytchnikova, I., Lampietti, J., Lundell, M., Scatasta, M., & Thurman, M. (2003). Irrigation in Central Asia. Social, Economic and Environment Considerations. World Bank. Retrieved January 15, 2017, from

Dessai, S. (2003). Heat stress and mortality in Lisbon Part II. An assessment of the potential impacts of climate change. International Journal of Biometeorology,48(1), 37-44. doi:10.1007/s00484-003-0180-4.

Dukhovny, V., & Sokolov, V. (2003). Lessons on cooperation building to manage water conflicts in the Aral Sea Basin. (Rep.). Paris: UNESCO-IHP.

Fay, M., Block, R. I., & Ebinger, J. O. (2010). Adapting to climate change in Eastern Europe and Central Asia. Washington, DC: World Bank.

FAO. (2014). Rural Women in Eastern Europe and Central Asia - FAO. Retrieved Jan. & Feb., 2017, from,5061.1

Flaherty, M., Gevorkyan, A., Radpour, S., & Semmler, W. (2016). Financing climate policies through climate bonds – A three stage model and empirics. Research in International Business and Finance. doi:10.1016/j.ribaf.2016.06.001;

Glantz, M. H. (2005). Water, Climate, and Development Issues in the Amu Darya Basin. Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change,10(1), 23-50. doi:10.1007/s11027-005-7829-8.

Granit, J., Jägerskog, A., Löfgren, R., Bullock, A., Gooijer, G., Pettigrew, S., & Lindström, A. (2010). Regional Water Intelligence Report Central Asia - Baseline Report, Regional Water Intelligence Reports (Rep. No. 15). Stockholm: UNDP, Water Governance Facility (WGF).

Lecocq, F., & Shalizi, Z. (2007). How Might Climate Change Affect Economic Growth In Developing Countries? A Review Of The Growth Literature With A Climate Lens. Policy Research Working Papers. doi:10.1596/1813-9450-4315;

Mackay, A. (2008). Climate Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation, and Vulnerability. The contribution of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Journal of Environment Quality,37(6), 2407. doi:10.2134/jeq2008.0015.

Metz, B. (2007). Climate change 2007: mitigation of climate change: contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge: Cambridge Univ. Press.

Ndamani, F., & Watanabe, T. (2017). Determinants of Farmers’ Climate Risk Perceptions in Agriculture—A Rural Ghana Perspective. Water,9(3), 210. doi:10.3390/w9030210.

Savoskul, O. S., Shevnina, E. V., Perziger, F., Barburin, V., & Danshin, A. (n.d.). How much water will be available for irrigation in the future? The Syr Darya Basin (Central Asia). Climate change in contrasting river basins: adaptation strategies for water, food and environment, 93-113. doi:10.1079/9780851998350.0093.

Siegfried, T., Bernauer, T., Guiennet, R., Sellars, S., Robertson, W., Mankin, J., Yakovlev, A. (2011). Will climate change exacerbate water stress in Central Asia? Climatic Change,112(3-4), 881-899. doi:10.1007/s10584-011-0253-z

Solomon, S. (2007). Climate change 2007: the physical science basis; contribution of Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: summary for policymakers. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.

Sommer, R., Glazirina, M., & Yuldashev, T. (2012). Impact of Climate Change on Rural Livelihood in Central Asia – Component 1: “Assessing the Vulnerability of Selected Agro-Ecosystems in Central Asia to Threats Resulting from Climate Change – Production and Productivity of Wheat. [Scholarly project]. Adaptation to Climate Change in CA and China.

Stern, N., (2007). The Economics of Climate Change. doi:10.1017/cbo9780511817434.

Tirado, M., Clarke, R., Jaykus, L., Mcquatters-Gollop, A., & Frank, J. (2010). Climate change and food safety: A review. Food Research International, 43(7), 1745-1765. doi:10.1016/j.foodres.2010.07.003.

World Bank report on water and power resources in Central Asia (Working paper No. 4315). (2004). Washington: WB



  • There are currently no refbacks.

Print ISSN 1805-997X, Online ISSN 1805-9961

(c) 2016 Central Bohemia University